AC Milan hosts Sassuolo in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Sunday. AC Milan is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Salernitana on Friday while Sassuolo lost 2-1 at home against Genoa on Friday.
AC Milan is in third place in the Serie A standings with 33 points in 17 games while Sassuolo is in 15th place with 16 points in 17 games.
The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has eight goals and five assists in 14 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Giroud a 52.42 percent chance to score against Sassuolo. He has 26 SCA and 6 GCA in 14 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AC Milan 1.48
• Sassuolo 6.20
• Draw 4.70
Spread
• AC Milan -1, -1.5 (2.02)
• Sassuolo +1, +1.5 (1.78)
Total
• Over 3 (1.95)
• Under 3 (1.83)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on January 29 and Sassuolo won 5-2.
Projected Leaders
For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 52.42 percent chance to score. He averages 2.01 shots overall per sim, 1.17 shots on goal per and 0.74 goals per sim.
For Sassuolo, Domenico Berardi has a 27.32 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.26 shots overall per sim, 0.67 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
AC Milan 1.48
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 2.32 to Sassuolo 0.9.
