AFC Bournemouth hosts Chelsea in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. AFC Bournemouth is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Brentford on September 2 while Chelsea lost 1-0 at home against Nottingham Forest on September 2.
AFC Bournemouth is in 16th place in the Premier League standings with two points in four games while Chelsea is in 12th place with four points in four games.
The player to watch in this game is Nicolas Jackson, who has one goal and zero assists in four Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Nicolas Jackson a 44.78 percent chance to score against AFC Bournemouth. He has 16 SCA and 0 GCA in four Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AFC Bournemouth 4.40
• Chelsea 1.74
• Draw: 4.00
Spread
• AFC Bournemouth +0.5, +1 (1.85)
• Chelsea -0.5, -1 (1.87)
Total
• Over 3 (1.95)
• Under 3 (1.78)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 6 and Chelsea won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
For AFC Bournemouth, Dominic Solanke has a 20.94 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.41 shots overall per sim, 0.67 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.
For Chelsea, Nicolas Jackson has a 44.78 percent chance to score. He averages 2.28 shots overall per sim, 1.37 shots on goal per and 0.59 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Chelsea 1.74
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Newcastle United in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.62 to AFC Bournemouth 1.06.
