Two teams in the middle of the Premier League standings clash on Sunday when Arsenal host Newcastle United. Will the Emirates Stadium crowd give an edge to The Gunners? Can Newcastle United come away with a valuable win?
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal: 1.44
• Draw: 4.83
• Newcastle United: 7.63
Spread
• Arsenal -1, -1.5: 1.98
• Newcastle United +1, +1.5: 1.95
Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 1.91
• Under 2.5, 3: 1.99
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Arsenal, coming off a 0-0 draw vs Burnley in the Premier League, have 4 draws, 2 wins and 0 losses in their last 6 overall. Newcastle United, coming off a 3-2 win vs Oxford United in the FA Cup, have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 overall.
Momentum: Arsenal has been on a downward trend — with four straight draws in the EPL.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Aug. 11, 2019 and Arsenal won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Arsenal, Alexandre Lacazette has a 37.46 percent chance to score. He averages 3.02 shots overall per sim, 1.23 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.
For Newcastle United, Ciaran Clark has a 14.82 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.42 shots overall per sim, 0.28 shots on goal per and 0.16 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The UNDER.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average total score in simulations is 2.45 goals.