Aston Villa hosts Liverpool in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on December 26. Aston Villa is coming off a 2-1 road win against Brighton & Hove Albion on November 13 while Liverpool beat Southampton 3-1 at home on November 12.
Liverpool is in sixth place in the Premier League standings with 22 points in 14 games while Aston Villa is in 12th place with 18 points in 15 games.
The player to watch in this game is Darwin Núñez, who has five goals and two assists in 10 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Darwin Núñez a 45.74 percent chance to score against Aston Villa. He has 24 SCA and 1 GCA in 10 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa 4.60
• Liverpool 1.70
• Draw: 4.10
Spread
• Aston Villa +0.5, +1 (1.95)
• Liverpool -0.5, -1 (1.86)
Total
• Over 3 (1.99)
• Under 3 (1.83)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 10 and Liverpool won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Danny Ings has a 25.52 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.27 shots overall per sim, 0.76 shots on goal per and 0.29 goals per sim.
For Liverpool, Darwin Núñez has a 45.74 percent chance to score. He averages 2.25 shots overall per sim, 1.2 shots on goal per and 0.62 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Under 3 (1.83)
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 1.87 to Aston Villa 0.83.
