Brest clashes with Paris Saint-Germain in what promises to be a very entertaining Ligue 1 game on Saturday. Brest is coming off a 1-0 road win against Strasbourg on Sunday while Paris Saint-Germain beat Nantes 4-2 at home on Saturday.
Paris Saint-Germain leads the Ligue 1 standings with 63 points in 26 games while Brest is in 15th place with 23 points in 26 games.
The player to watch in this game is Kylian Mbappé, who has 18 goals and three assists in 22 Ligue 1 games this season. AccuScore gives Mbappé a 66.42 percent chance to score against Brest. He has 83 SCA and 12 GCA in 22 Ligue 1 games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Brest 7.20
• Paris Saint-Germain 1.41
• Draw 5.00
Spread
• Brest +1, +1.5 (1.96)
• Paris Saint-Germain -1, -1.5 (1.85)
Total
• Over 3 (1.96)
• Under 3 (1.86)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Ligue 1 action on September 10 and Paris Saint-Germain won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Brest, Jérémy Le Douaron has a 33.92 percent chance to score. He averages 2.47 shots overall per sim, 1.21 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.
For Paris Saint-Germain, Kylian Mbappé has a 66.42 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 3.76 shots overall per sim, 2.43 shots on goal per and 1.1 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Paris Saint-Germain 1.31
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Paris Saint-Germain in this one. Average score in simulations is Paris Saint-Germain 2.37 to Brest 0.89.
