Brighton & Hove Albion clashes with Southampton in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Sunday. Brighton & Hove Albion is coming off a 1-0 road win against Tottenham Hotspur on April 16 while Southampton beat Arsenal 1-0 at home on April 16. Brighton & Hove Albion is in 10th place in the Premier League standings with 40 points in 32 games while Southampton is in 12th place with 39 points in 32 games.
The player to watch in this game is Danny Welbeck, who has three goals and zero assists in 19 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Welbeck a 27.24 percent chance to score against Southampton. He has 21 SCA and 0 GCA in 19 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Brighton & Hove Albion: 2.25
• Southampton: 3.25
• Draw: 3.35
Spread
• Brighton & Hove Albion: 0, -0.5: 1.92
• Southampton: 0, +0.5: 1.89
Total
• Over 2, 2.5: 1.79
• Under 2, 2.5: 2.03
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Brighton & Hove Albion, coming off a 1-0 road win against Tottenham Hotspur on April 16, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.
Southampton, coming off a 1-0 home win against Arsenal on April 16, have 3 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Brighton & Hove Albion has been on an upward trend — with 2 wins in their last 3 Premier League games (as of this writing).
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 4, 2021 and the game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Brighton & Hove Albion, Danny Welbeck has a 27.24 percent chance to score. He averages 1.27 shots overall per sim, 0.75 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.
For Southampton, Adam Armstrong has a 21.44 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.52 shots overall per sim, 0.84 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Brighton & Hove Albion 1.5 to Southampton 1.08.
