Chelsea hosts Leeds United on Saturday in what promises to be a great Premier League game. Chelsea is coming off a 3-2 road loss against West Ham United last Saturday while Leeds United had a 2-2 home draw against Brentford last Sunday. Chelsea is in third place in the Premier League with 33 points in 15 games while Leeds United is in 14th place with 16 points in 15 games.
The player to watch in this game is Romelu Lukaku. Chelsea’s Belgian striker has played nine games this season and he has three goals. Look for Lukaku to find more rhythm as the campaign progresses and this home game can help him. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea: 1.32
• Leeds United: 9.00
• Draw: 5.40
Spread
• Chelsea: -1.5: 1.98
• Leeds United: +1.5: 1.95
Total
• Over 3: 2.09
• Under 3: 1.81
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Chelsea, coming off a 3-2 road loss against West Ham United last Saturday, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games. Leeds United, coming off a 2-2 home draw against Brentford last Sunday, have 3 draws, 1 win and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Leeds United has been on a downward trend — with 1 win in their last 5 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on March 13 and the game ended on a 0-0 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Chelsea, Mason Mount has a 27.06 percent chance to score. He averages 1.8 shots overall per sim, 0.96 shots on goal per and 0.33 goals per sim.
For Leeds United, Raphina has a 13.98 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.15 shots overall per sim, 0.54 shots on goal per and 0.15 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.94 to Leeds United 0.45.
