Chelsea and Manchester City clash in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Chelsea is coming off a 4-1 road win against Tottenham Hotspur on Monday while Manchester City beat AFC Bournemouth 6-1 at home on Saturday.
Chelsea is in 10th place in the Premier League standings with 15 points in 11 games while Manchester City is in first place with 27 points in 11 games.
The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 11 goals and two assists in 11 Premier League games last season. AccuScore gives Erling Haaland 60.7 percent chance to score against Chelsea. He has 19 SCA and 3 GCA in 11 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea 4.70
• Manchester City 1.74
• Draw 3.85
Spread
• Chelsea +0.5, +1 (1.85)
• Manchester City -0.5, -1 (1.87)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.92)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.80)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 21 and Manchester City won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Chelsea, Nicolas Jackson has a 32.6 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.22 shots overall per sim, 0.74 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 60.7 percent chance to score. He averages 2.39 shots overall per sim, 1.27 shots on goal per and 0.92 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Manchester City 1.74
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 1.88 to Chelsea 1.07.
