Inter Milan wants to maintain their lead in the Serie A standings when they host Genoa on Sunday. Inter Milan, coming off a 3-0 road win against AC Milan last Sunday while Genoa played to a a 2-2 home draw against Verona on Saturday. Inter Milan is in first place in the Serie A with 53 points in 23 games while Genoa is in 11th place with 26 points in 23 games. The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Inter Milan: 1.21
• Genoa: 14.00
• Draw: 6.60
Spread
• Inter Milan: -1.5, -2 (1.90)
• Genoa: +1.5, +2 (2.03)
Total
• Over 3 (1.90)
• Under 3 (2.03)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Inter Milan, coming off a 3-0 road win against AC Milan on Sunday, have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 Serie A games. Genoa, coming off a 2-2 home draw against Verona last Saturday, have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 Serie A games.
Momentum: Inter Milan has been on an upward trend — winning their last 4 games in the Serie A.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on October 24, 2020 and Inter Milan won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For Inter Milan, Romelu Lukaku has a 57.32 percent chance to score. He averages 2.69 shots overall per sim, 1.37 shots on goal per and 0.84 goals per sim.
For Genoa, Mattia Destro has a 17.48 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.41 shots overall per sim, 0.31 shots on goal per and 0.19 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the Under in this one. Average score in simulations is Inter Milan 2.18 to Genoa 0.43.