Leeds United hosts Manchester City in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on December 28. Leeds United is coming off a 4-3 road loss against Tottenham Hotspur Wanderers on November 12 while Manchester City lost 2-1 at home against Brentford on November 12.
Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 32 points in 14 games while Leeds United is in 15th place with 15 points in 14 games.
The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 18 goals and three assists in 13 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Haaland a 76.1 percent chance to score against Leeds United. He has 29 SCA and 6 GCA in 13 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Leeds United 8.80
• Manchester City 1.29
• Draw: 6.00
Spread
• Leeds United +1.5, +2 (1.83)
• Manchester City -1.5, -2 (1.98)
Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.88)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.93)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 30 and Manchester City won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
For Leeds United, Rodrigo Moreno has a 19.96 percent chance to score. He averages 0.63 shots overall per sim, 0.33 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim.
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 76.1 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 3.18 shots overall per sim, 1.87 shots on goal per and 1.42 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Over 3, 3.5 (1.88)
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 3.27 to Leeds United 0.48.
