Liverpool vs. Southampton: EPL Game Preview

 
Southampton looks to get back on track when they visit Liverpool. Southampton is coming off a disappointing 2-1 road loss against Norwich City last Saturday while Liverpool beat Arsenal 4-0 at home on Saturday. Liverpool is in second place in the Premier League standings with 25 points in 12 games while Arsenal is in fifth place with 20 points in 12 games.

The player to watch in this game is Mohamed Salah. Former Liverpool winger Luis Garcia recently backed Salah to improve his goalscoring record at Liverpool further this season: “He is becoming more and more important. He knows where he has to be. I think we can see a different Salah at the moment.” Salah has been on fire, with 11 goals in 12 Premier League games this season and he can be a difference-maker on Sunday. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Liverpool: 1.29
• Southampton: 9.20
• Draw: 6.00

Spread
• Liverpool -1.5, -2 (1.98)
• Southampton: +1.5, +2 (1.92)

Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.89)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.99)

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Liverpool, coming off a 4-0 home win against Arsenal last Saturday, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games. Southampton, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Norwich City last Saturday, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Liverpool has been on an upward trend — with 3 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.

Head-to-Head: These two teams last matched up in Premier League action on May 8 and Liverpool won 2-0.

Projected Leaders

For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah has a 69.68 percent chance to score. He averages 3.29 shots overall per sim, 2.22 shots on goal per and 1.17 goals per sim.

For Southampton, Adam Armstrong has a 30.1 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.87 shots overall per sim, 1.03 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Liverpool Moneyline.

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Liverpool in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 3.15 to Southampton 0.95.