Luton Town hosts Brighton & Hove Albion in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Tuesday. Luton Town is coming off a 1-1 home draw on January 12 while Brighton & Hove Albion had a 0-0 home draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers on January 22.
Luton Town is in 18th place in the Premier League standings with 16 points in 20 games while Brighton & Hove Albion is in seventh place with 32 points in 21 games.
The player to watch in this game is João Pedro, who has seven goals and two assists in 21 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives João Pedro a 40.46 percent chance to score against Luton Town. He has 56 SCA and 8 GCA in 21 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Luton Town 4.80
• Brighton & Hove Albion 1.64
• Draw: 4.30
Spread
• Luton Town +1 (1.78)
• Brighton & Hove Albion -1 (1.98)
Total
• Over 3 (1.90)
• Under 3 (1.85)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on August 12 and Brighton & Hove Albion won 4-1.
Projected Leaders
For Luton Town, Elijah Adebayo has a 27.36 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.13 shots overall per sim, 0.53 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.
For Brighton & Hove Albion, João Pedro has a 40.46 percent chance to score. He averages 1.76 shots overall per sim, 1.01 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Brighton & Hove Albion 1.64
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Brighton & Hove Albion in this one. Average score in simulations is Brighton & Hove Albion 1.9 to Luton Town 1.25.
