Manchester City hosts Liverpool in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday.
Manchester City is coming off a 1-0 road win against Crystal Palace on March 11 while Liverpool lost 1-0 on the road against AFC Bournemouth on March 11.
Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 61 points in 27 games while Liverpool is in sixth place with 42 points in 26 games.
The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 28 goals and five assists in 26 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Erling Haaland a 59.1 percent chance to score against Liverpool. He has 49 SCA and 11 GCA in 26 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City 1.59
• Liverpool 5.40
• Draw: 4.20
Spread
• Manchester City -1 (1.94)
• Liverpool +1 (1.87)
Total
• Over 3 (2.00)
• Under 3 (1.82)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 16 and Liverpool won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 59.1 percent chance to score. He averages 2.8 shots overall per sim, 1.64 shots on goal per and 0.91 goals per sim.
For Liverpool, Darwin Núñez has a 39.7 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.29 shots overall per sim, 0.73 shots on goal per and 0.51 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Over 3 (2.00)
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.44 to Liverpool 1.5.
