Manchester United hosts Manchester City in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on January 14. Manchester United is coming off a 3-0 home win against Bournemouth on January 3 while Manchester City beat Chelsea 1-0 on the road on January 5.
Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 39 points in 17 games while Leeds United is in fourth place with 35 points in 17 games.
The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 21 goals and three assists in 16 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Haaland a 66.28 percent chance to score against Manchester United. He has 35 SCA and 7 GCA in 16 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester United 4.30
• Manchester City 1.78
• Draw: 3.90
Spread
• Manchester United +0.5, +1 (1.88)
• Manchester City -0.5, -1 (2.05)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.82)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.00)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 2 and Manchester City won 6-3.
Projected Leaders
For Manchester United, Anthony Martial has a 20.68 percent chance to score. He averages 0.56 shots overall per sim, 0.4 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 66.28 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.75 shots overall per sim, 1.63 shots on goal per and 1.09 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Over 2.5, 3 (1.82)
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.31 to Manchester United 0.81.
