Newcastle United hosts Leeds United in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Newcastle United is coming off a 3-0 road win against Leicester City on Monday, while Leeds United lost 4-3 on the road against Tottenham Hotspur on November 12.
As of this writing, Newcastle United is in second place in the Premier League standings with 33 points in 16 games, while Leeds United is in 15th place with 15 points in 14 games.
The player to watch in this game is Miguel Almirón, who has nine goals and one assist in 16 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Miguel Almirón a 45.22 percent chance to score against Leeds United. He has 43 SCA and 9 GCA in 16 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle United 1.48
• Leeds United 6.80
• Draw: 4.80
Spread
• Newcastle United -1 (1.70)
• Leeds United +1 (2.25)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.86)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.02)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on January 22 and Newcastle United won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Newcastle United, Miguel Almirón has a 45.22 percent chance to score. He averages 1.54 shots overall per sim, 0.84 shots on goal per and 0.59 goals per sim.
For Leeds United, Rodrigo Moreno has a 25.52 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.12 shots overall per sim, 0.58 shots on goal per and 0.29 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Newcastle United 1.48
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Newcastle United 2.27 to Leeds United 0.63.
